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USD/JPY finds resistance at 103.85

FXStreet (Córdoba) - The USD/JPY lost bullish momentum above 103.80 and pulled back modestly. After the release of US data the pair rose to 103.85 but failed to consolidate above 103.80.

Currently trades at 103.75, 0.10% down for the day so far, headed toward the second daily loss in a row, retreating further after hitting on Monday the strongtes level since January at 104.25.

USD/JPY outlook ahead of key data

Next week important economic data from the US will be release, including the employment report, that could have an impact on the pair. “The expectation for labor market recovery in non-farm payroll report may support USD/JPY buying. If strong employment growth is confirmed then USD/JPY may breach that 104.00 resistance level and advance toward 105.00”, said the Markets Research Team from the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi.

According to them an escalation in the Russia/Ukraine crisis could favor the Yen. “Risk-off factors have not always influenced USD/JPY of late but that’s perhaps more the case at 102.00 rather than at 104.00. At higher levels we may well see greater sensitivity to events in Russia”.

Three mitigations for QE from ECB - BBH

Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman said that there seems to be at least three other channels that could mitigate the imminent need for QE:
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NZD/USD rejected from above 0.8400

The NZD/USD rose during the Asian session and reached levels on top of 0.8400; also on European hours trades above the mentioned level but both times it was rejected. After the release of US economic data Greenback gained momentum and pushed the NZD/USD to the downside.
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